Phuck IT!
2026-03-27 slate | 10k roll guide
2 games | 0 nukes | 5 strong bets | 0 juicers | stake guide = Kelly × 0.25 on fixed 10,000 bankroll
Slate overview
Curated max-four-bet view per game.
Strong bets
10-20% EV.
Game Bet Book Fair Expected Win EV Kelly% Stake (10k)
Chicago Blackhawks @ New York RangersNY Rangers o27.51.941.7557.10%+10.77%+11.46%287
Chicago Blackhawks @ New York Rangerso52.52.071.8454.28%+12.37%+11.56%289
Detroit Red Wings @ Buffalo SabresBuffalo Sabres shots1.851.6361.36%+13.52%+15.91%398
Detroit Red Wings @ Buffalo SabresBuffalo o29.52.131.8055.58%+18.39%+16.27%407
Detroit Red Wings @ Buffalo Sabreso56.51.851.6759.83%+10.68%+12.57%314
Chicago Blackhawks @ New York Rangers
2026-03-27
Live shots
24.8 - 28.3
Total 53.1
Expected CF
Chicago Blackhawks: 53.1
New York Rangers: 56.9
Ranks
Chicago Blackhawks: O 32/32 | D 23/32
New York Rangers: O 29/32 | D 20/32
Goalies
Soderblom: SV% 0.883 | GAA 3.68 | Expected
Garand: SV% 0.946 | GAA 1.85 | Expected
Layer summaryBase forecast plus every live adjustment.
LayerChicago BlackhawksNew York RangersChicago Blackhawks noteNew York Rangers note
Base model26.4627.45
DFO lineup + goalie-0.12+0.16goalie input (-0.12) with Soderblom.goalie input (+0.16) with Garand.
Schedule baseline-0.55+0.15B2B, -1 rest+1 rest
Schedule trigger-1.00+0.58B2B away-away 121-500 km trip after a loss1 rest day home 501-1000 km trip after a loss
Lineup / star shock+0.00+0.00Projected lineup looks close to the usual core.Projected lineup looks close to the usual core.
Defense depletion+0.00+0.00Opponent blue line looks normal enough that no defense-specific shot boost fired.Opponent blue line looks normal enough that no defense-specific shot boost fired.
Roster event memory+0.00+0.01No major long-absence or trade-memory event moved this team.No major long-absence or trade-memory event moved this team.
Chance feed: 39 shot prices scraped | 2 compact bets cleared.
Strong bets
10-20% EV.
Game Bet Book Fair Expected Win EV Kelly% Stake (10k)
Chicago Blackhawks @ New York RangersNY Rangers o27.51.941.7557.10%+10.77%+11.46%287
Chicago Blackhawks @ New York Rangerso52.52.071.8454.28%+12.37%+11.56%289
Detroit Red Wings @ Buffalo Sabres
2026-03-27
Live shots
27.9 - 30.1
Total 58.0
Expected CF
Detroit Red Wings: 57.0
Buffalo Sabres: 60.9
Ranks
Detroit Red Wings: O 13/32 | D 19/32
Buffalo Sabres: O 12/32 | D 16/32
Goalies
John Gibson: SV% 0.906 | GAA 2.55 | Confirmed
Alex Lyon: SV% 0.911 | GAA 2.64 | Confirmed
Layer summaryBase forecast plus every live adjustment.
LayerDetroit Red WingsBuffalo SabresDetroit Red Wings noteBuffalo Sabres note
Base model27.7529.38
DFO lineup + goalie+0.01+0.05goalie input (+0.01) with John Gibson.goalie input (+0.05) with Alex Lyon.
Schedule baseline+0.15-0.11+1 rest-1 rest
Schedule trigger+0.00+0.79No high-confidence schedule trigger fired.1 rest day home same-city trip after a loss
Lineup / star shock+0.00+0.00Projected lineup looks close to the usual core.Projected lineup looks close to the usual core.
Defense depletion+0.00+0.00Opponent blue line looks normal enough that no defense-specific shot boost fired.Opponent blue line looks normal enough that no defense-specific shot boost fired.
Roster event memory+0.00+0.00No major long-absence or trade-memory event moved this team.No major long-absence or trade-memory event moved this team.
Chance feed: 39 shot prices scraped | 3 compact bets cleared.
Strong bets
10-20% EV.
Game Bet Book Fair Expected Win EV Kelly% Stake (10k)
Detroit Red Wings @ Buffalo SabresBuffalo Sabres shots1.851.6361.36%+13.52%+15.91%398
Detroit Red Wings @ Buffalo SabresBuffalo o29.52.131.8055.58%+18.39%+16.27%407
Detroit Red Wings @ Buffalo Sabreso56.51.851.6759.83%+10.68%+12.57%314