2026-05-11. Regulation faceoff model, compared to Chance's three-way more-faceoffs market.
Colorado Avalanche @ Minnesota Wild
Read: Small lean to Colorado Avalanche, but not a full play.
Model: Colorado Avalanche 67.4%, tie 4.6%, Minnesota Wild 28.0%. Estimated draw count: 58.
| Selection | Chance | Fair | Model prob | EV |
|---|
| Colorado Avalanche | 1.52 | 1.48 | 67.4% | +2.4% |
| Tie | 14.00 | 21.63 | 4.6% | -35.3% |
| Minnesota Wild | 2.46 | 3.57 | 28.0% | -31.1% |
Blend details
| Layer | A FO% | B FO% | A draw win prob | Weight |
|---|
| season | 51.2% | 46.9% | 54.3% | 35% |
| regular | 51.1% | 46.5% | 54.6% | 15% |
| playoff | 51.6% | 50.2% | 51.4% | 20% |
| recent20 | 50.2% | 47.9% | 52.2% | 20% |
| h2h | 55.3% | 44.7% | 60.5% | 10% |