Prime ML Markets

Chance NHL markets beyond shots, sorted by start time.

1 matches priced | 25 matched market rows | bankroll guide 100,000 at Kelly × 0.25

Matchup

3Way

DNB

Total

Carolina Hurricanes @ Vegas Golden Knights

Side-model expected goals

3.53 | 2.90

Totals engine goals

3.49 | 2.86 (sum 6.35)

Moneyline

	1	2
Projection	1.69	2.44
Chance	1.92	1.92
Edge	+13.3%	-21.3%
Win chance	59.00%	41.00%

3Way

	1	X	2
Projection	2.15	4.00	3.51
Chance	2.52	4.02	2.52
Edge	+17.2%	+0.5%	-28.2%
Win chance	46.50%	25.00%	28.50%

DNB

	1	2
Projection	1.61	2.63
Chance	1.92	1.92
Edge	+19.1%	-27.1%
Win chance	62.01%	37.99%

Total

	Over	Under
Projection	1.96	2.04
Chance	1.82	2.03
Edge	-7.3%	-0.4%
Win chance	50.95%	49.05%

main line 5.5 | totals engine 3.49 | 2.86 (sum 6.35)

Win bets

Game	Selection	Book	Fair	Win%	EV
Carolina Hurricanes @ Vegas Golden Knights	Carolina Hurricanes	1.92	1.61	62.01%	+19.05%
Carolina Hurricanes @ Vegas Golden Knights	Carolina Hurricanes	2.52	2.15	46.50%	+17.19%
Carolina Hurricanes @ Vegas Golden Knights	Carolina Hurricanes	1.92	1.69	59.00%	+13.29%

Handicap bets

Game	Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV
Carolina Hurricanes @ Vegas Golden Knights	Carolina Hurricanes	-1.0	2.90	2.28	43.90%	+27.31%
Carolina Hurricanes @ Vegas Golden Knights	Carolina Hurricanes	1.5	1.36	1.20	83.19%	+13.13%
Carolina Hurricanes @ Vegas Golden Knights	Carolina Hurricanes	2.0	1.23	1.11	90.49%	+11.30%
Carolina Hurricanes @ Vegas Golden Knights	Carolina Hurricanes	1.0	1.42	1.28	77.82%	+10.51%

Carolina Hurricanes @ Vegas Golden Knights

2026-06-06 | n/a UTC

Moneyline

Carolina Hurricanes: book 1.92 | fair 1.69

Vegas Golden Knights: book 1.92 | fair 2.44

Side-model expected goals

Carolina Hurricanes: 3.53

Vegas Golden Knights: 2.90

Totals engine goals

Carolina Hurricanes: 3.49

Vegas Golden Knights: 2.86 | total 6.35

Goalies

Carolina Hurricanes: n/a

Vegas Golden Knights: n/a

3Way

1 n/a | X n/a | 2 n/a

Draw win% 0.0%

Schedule trigger

Carolina Hurricanes: +0.00

Vegas Golden Knights: +0.00

Roster events

Carolina Hurricanes: +0.00

Vegas Golden Knights: +0.00

Layer summary

Base forecast plus every live adjustment.

Layer	Carolina Hurricanes	Vegas Golden Knights	Carolina Hurricanes note	Vegas Golden Knights note
Base shots	29.58	22.02
Base xG	3.60	3.01
Goalie layer	-0.07	-0.11	starter Frederik Andersen (+0.05 GSAx/60) moved xG -0.07.	starter Carter Hart (+0.07 GSAx/60) moved xG -0.11.
Lineup / star shock	+0.00	+0.00	projected lineup looks close to the usual core.	projected lineup looks close to the usual core.
Schedule trigger	+0.00	+0.00	no high-confidence schedule trigger fired.	no high-confidence schedule trigger fired.
Roster event memory	+0.00	+0.00	no major long-absence or trade-memory event moved this side.	no major long-absence or trade-memory event moved this side.

Win bets

Selection	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Carolina Hurricanes	1.92	1.61	62.01%	+19.05%	+20.71%
Carolina Hurricanes	2.52	2.15	46.50%	+17.19%	+11.31%
Carolina Hurricanes	1.92	1.69	59.00%	+13.29%	+14.44%

Handicap bets

Selection	Line	Book	Fair	Win%	EV	Kelly%
Carolina Hurricanes	-1.0	2.90	2.28	43.90%	+27.31%	+14.37%
Carolina Hurricanes	1.5	1.36	1.20	83.19%	+13.13%	+36.48%
Carolina Hurricanes	2.0	1.23	1.11	90.49%	+11.30%	+49.14%
Carolina Hurricanes	1.0	1.42	1.28	77.82%	+10.51%	+25.02%