Prime Buffered Report

Alternative view. Current live page is untouched. Action edge = book odds vs buffered action fair.

Buffer Map

Post-model safety haircut by market family.

MarketType	Buffer
moneyline	1.05x
three_way	1.05x
draw_no_bet	1.05x
handicap	1.05x
game_total	1.08x

Win bets

Buffered/action edge only. Raw edge is shown for comparison.

Game	Selection	Line	Book	Model Fair	Action Fair	Raw Edge	Action Edge	Kelly%
Florida Panthers @ Pittsburgh Penguins	Florida Panthers		3.12	2.03	2.13	+53.7%	+46.4%	+21.9%
Florida Panthers @ Pittsburgh Penguins	Florida Panthers		4.09	2.72	2.86	+50.4%	+43.2%	+14.0%
Florida Panthers @ Pittsburgh Penguins	Florida Panthers		2.86	2.02	2.12	+41.4%	+34.7%	+18.7%
Florida Panthers @ Pittsburgh Penguins	Florida Panthers	1.5	1.80	1.33	1.40	+35.2%	+28.8%	+36.0%
Florida Panthers @ Pittsburgh Penguins	Florida Panthers	2.0	1.58	1.19	1.25	+32.2%	+25.9%	+44.7%
Florida Panthers @ Pittsburgh Penguins	Florida Panthers	1.0	1.98	1.50	1.58	+31.7%	+25.5%	+26.0%
Florida Panthers @ Pittsburgh Penguins	Florida Panthers	-1.5	5.27	4.18	4.39	+26.2%	+20.2%	+4.7%
Florida Panthers @ Pittsburgh Penguins	Draw		4.48	3.94	4.14	+13.7%	+8.3%	+2.4%
Boston Bruins @ Philadelphia Flyers	Boston Bruins	-1.0	3.63	3.19	3.35	+13.9%	+8.5%	+3.2%
Boston Bruins @ Philadelphia Flyers	Boston Bruins		2.30	2.02	2.12	+13.9%	+8.4%	+6.5%
Boston Bruins @ Philadelphia Flyers	Boston Bruins	1.5	1.48	1.31	1.37	+13.0%	+7.6%	+15.9%
Boston Bruins @ Philadelphia Flyers	Boston Bruins	2.0	1.31	1.17	1.23	+11.7%	+6.4%	+20.6%
Boston Bruins @ Philadelphia Flyers	Boston Bruins		2.23	2.01	2.12	+10.7%	+5.4%	+4.4%
New Jersey Devils @ Montreal Canadiens	New Jersey Devils	-1.0	3.58	2.95	3.10	+21.4%	+15.6%	+6.1%
New Jersey Devils @ Montreal Canadiens	New Jersey Devils		2.32	1.93	2.02	+20.4%	+14.7%	+11.1%
New Jersey Devils @ Montreal Canadiens	New Jersey Devils		3.02	2.60	2.73	+16.4%	+10.8%	+5.4%
New Jersey Devils @ Montreal Canadiens	New Jersey Devils	1.5	1.50	1.29	1.36	+16.2%	+10.6%	+21.3%
New Jersey Devils @ Montreal Canadiens	New Jersey Devils	2.0	1.34	1.16	1.22	+15.2%	+9.7%	+28.6%
New Jersey Devils @ Montreal Canadiens	New Jersey Devils		2.24	1.95	2.04	+15.2%	+9.7%	+7.8%
New Jersey Devils @ Montreal Canadiens	New Jersey Devils	1.0	1.60	1.44	1.51	+11.2%	+5.9%	+9.8%
St Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche	St Louis Blues		2.93	2.26	2.37	+29.7%	+23.6%	+12.2%
St Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche	St Louis Blues	1.5	1.71	1.35	1.42	+26.8%	+20.7%	+29.2%
St Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche	St Louis Blues	2.0	1.50	1.19	1.25	+25.8%	+19.8%	+39.6%
St Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche	St Louis Blues		3.84	3.07	3.23	+24.9%	+19.0%	+6.7%
St Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche	St Louis Blues		2.70	2.18	2.29	+23.7%	+17.8%	+10.5%
St Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche	St Louis Blues	-1.0	4.70	3.85	4.05	+21.9%	+16.1%	+4.4%
St Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche	St Louis Blues	1.0	1.88	1.56	1.64	+20.1%	+14.4%	+16.4%
St Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche	Draw		4.37	3.77	3.96	+16.0%	+10.5%	+3.1%

Goal totals

Buffered/action edge only. Raw edge is shown for comparison.

Game	Selection	Line	Book	Model Fair	Action Fair	Raw Edge	Action Edge	Kelly%
Minnesota Wild @ Detroit Red Wings	Under	5.5	2.26	1.80	1.95	+25.2%	+15.9%	+12.6%
Florida Panthers @ Pittsburgh Penguins	Under	5.5	2.51	1.44	1.56	+74.1%	+61.2%	+40.5%
Florida Panthers @ Pittsburgh Penguins	Over	7.5	2.91	2.51	2.71	+15.9%	+7.3%	+3.8%
Boston Bruins @ Philadelphia Flyers	Under	4.5	3.83	2.59	2.80	+47.7%	+36.7%	+13.0%
Boston Bruins @ Philadelphia Flyers	Under	5.5	2.06	1.72	1.86	+19.7%	+10.9%	+10.2%
Boston Bruins @ Philadelphia Flyers	Under	6.5	1.70	1.43	1.55	+18.7%	+9.9%	+14.2%
Carolina Hurricanes @ Ottawa Senators	Under	5.5	2.24	1.68	1.82	+33.3%	+23.4%	+18.9%
New Jersey Devils @ Montreal Canadiens	Under	4.5	4.74	2.59	2.80	+83.1%	+69.5%	+18.6%
New Jersey Devils @ Montreal Canadiens	Under	5.5	2.38	1.73	1.87	+37.5%	+27.3%	+19.8%
New Jersey Devils @ Montreal Canadiens	Under	6.5	1.93	1.44	1.55	+34.4%	+24.4%	+26.3%
New Jersey Devils @ Montreal Canadiens	Under	7.5	1.38	1.20	1.29	+15.3%	+6.8%	+17.8%
Washington Capitals @ New York Rangers	Under	5.5	2.18	1.64	1.77	+32.9%	+23.0%	+19.5%
St Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche	Under	4.5	4.08	1.59	1.71	+157.3%	+138.3%	+44.9%
St Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche	Under	5.5	2.17	1.27	1.38	+70.3%	+57.7%	+49.3%
St Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche	Under	6.5	1.76	1.20	1.30	+46.5%	+35.6%	+46.9%
St Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche	Under	7.5	1.30	1.09	1.18	+18.8%	+10.0%	+33.3%
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Buffalo Sabres	Under	5.5	2.35	1.70	1.84	+37.9%	+27.7%	+20.5%
Seattle Kraken @ Winnipeg Jets	Under	5.5	2.07	1.59	1.72	+29.9%	+20.3%	+19.0%
Chicago Blackhawks @ San Jose Sharks	Under	5.5	2.02	1.76	1.91	+14.4%	+6.0%	+5.9%