Game 7 Exact Scores By Regulation Period

Completed NHL playoff Game 7s only, 2010-2025 playoffs. Scores are away-home.

The clean read: use the 2020+ completed Game 7 sample as the relevant trend baseline. The main actionable angle is not blind full-game under. It is period pricing, especially P1 under 1.5 or no-goal/goal-by-period prices when the book gives us a clear edge over raw fair.

2020+ Betting Fair Odds

Sample: 20 completed Game 7s from playoff years 2021-2025. Raw fair is no-vig historical fair. Need +5% and Need +10% are the minimum book odds required for that edge on the same probability.

PeriodBetHitsHit %Raw fairNeed +5%Need +10%Read
P1Under 0.510/2050.0%2.002.102.20Coin-flip no-goal/goal split; only play if price is clearly wrong.
P1Over 0.510/2050.0%2.002.102.20Coin-flip no-goal/goal split; only play if price is clearly wrong.
P1Under 1.515/2075.0%1.331.401.47Main useful Game 7 trend angle.
P1Over 1.55/2025.0%4.004.204.40Price-only angle, not a standalone play.
P2Under 0.51/205.0%20.021.022.0Longshot only; do not force it.
P2Over 0.519/2095.0%1.051.111.16Likely side, but book may price it too short.
P2Under 1.58/2040.0%2.502.622.75Price-only angle, not a standalone play.
P2Over 1.512/2060.0%1.671.751.83Possible rebound period, but price must be fair.
P2Under 2.513/2065.0%1.541.621.69Price-only angle, not a standalone play.
P2Over 2.57/2035.0%2.863.003.14Price-only angle, not a standalone play.
P2Under 3.519/2095.0%1.051.111.16Likely side, but book may price it too short.
P2Over 3.51/205.0%20.021.022.0Longshot only; do not force it.
P3Under 0.55/2025.0%4.004.204.40Price-only angle, not a standalone play.
P3Over 0.515/2075.0%1.331.401.47Price-only angle, not a standalone play.
P3Under 1.59/2045.0%2.222.332.44Price-only angle, not a standalone play.
P3Over 1.511/2055.0%1.821.912.00Price-only angle, not a standalone play.
P3Under 2.516/2080.0%1.251.311.38Often stays below 3 P3 goals, but late empty-net risk matters.
P3Over 2.54/2020.0%5.005.255.50Longshot only; do not force it.
P3Under 3.517/2085.0%1.181.241.29Likely side, but book may price it too short.
P3Over 3.53/2015.0%6.677.007.33Longshot only; do not force it.
P3Under 4.518/2090.0%1.111.171.22Likely side, but book may price it too short.
P3Over 4.52/2010.0%10.0010.5011.00Longshot only; do not force it.

Plain Suggestions From 2020+

P1

Under 1.5 goals: 15/20 hit, raw fair 1.33. I want about 1.40 for +5% and 1.47 for +10%. Under 0.5 / no goal: 10/20 hit, raw fair 2.00. I want 2.10+ for +5% and 2.20+ for +10%.

P2

This is not the tight period. Over 1.5: 12/20 hit, raw fair 1.67. I want 1.75+ for +5% and 1.83+ for +10%. Under 2.5 is 13/20, raw fair 1.54, but it is less clean as a betting thesis.

P3

More fragile because empty nets can wreck the bet. Under 2.5: 16/20 hit, raw fair 1.25. I want 1.31+ for +5% and 1.38+ for +10%. At short odds, be careful.

2020+ Exact Scores Only

After P1

Bucket0-00-11-01-12-0Total G70-0 %
2020-2024823311747.1
202520001366.7

After P2

Bucket0-00-11-00-21-12-01-22-13-01-32-23-13-22-4Total G70-0 %
2020-202413011113211011175.9
20250010000010010030.0

After regulation

Bucket0-10-21-11-22-10-42-23-12-33-22-43-36-12-66-2Total G7
2020-202411132111110201117
20250000000000111003

2020+ Period Goal Counts

P1 goals

Bucket012Total G70-goal period %
2020-20248541747.1
2025201366.7

P2 goals

Bucket01234Total G70-goal period %
2020-202416451175.9
20250111030.0

P3 goals

Bucket012345Total G70-goal period %
2020-20245461011729.4
202500101130.0

Longer History Summary

BucketGamesP1ZeroZeroP2ZeroZeroRegZeroZeroP1AvgGoalsP2AvgGoalsP3AvgGoalsRegAvgGoalsTiedAfterP1TiedAfterP2TiedAfterRegP1ZeroZero%P2ZeroZero%RegZeroZero%TiedAfterP1%TiedAfterP2%TiedAfterReg%
2010-2014278101.371.671.594.6395829.63.70.033.318.529.6
2015-2019226201.591.231.824.6477527.39.10.031.831.822.7
2020-2024178100.761.941.414.12113447.15.90.064.717.623.5
202532000.672.03.676.3320166.70.00.066.70.033.3

Most Common Exact Scores

After P1

0-0: 24/69 (34.8%); 1-0: 14/69 (20.3%); 2-0: 6/69 (8.7%); 0-1: 5/69 (7.2%); 1-1: 5/69 (7.2%)

After P2

0-1: 7/69 (10.1%); 2-1: 7/69 (10.1%); 3-0: 6/69 (8.7%); 1-1: 6/69 (8.7%); 1-2: 5/69 (7.2%)

After Regulation

1-2: 10/69 (14.5%); 1-1: 6/69 (8.7%); 2-1: 5/69 (7.2%); 3-3: 5/69 (7.2%); 2-3: 4/69 (5.8%)

Exact Score After P1

Bucket0-00-11-00-21-12-01-22-13-01-32-3Total G70-0 %
2010-2014837111211112729.6
2015-2019604313211012227.3
2020-2024823031000001747.1
202520000100000366.7

Exact Score After P2

Bucket0-00-11-00-21-12-00-31-22-13-01-32-23-12-33-24-15-02-43-34-25-13-44-3Total G70-0 %
2010-201413221112420210010011110273.7
2015-201921104312011111011000001229.1
2020-202413011101321100100100000175.9
20250010000001001000000000030.0

Exact Score After Regulation

For OT games this is the tied score at the end of regulation, not the final OT winner.

Bucket0-11-00-21-12-01-22-10-42-23-14-00-52-33-24-15-01-52-43-35-12-54-35-26-12-64-45-36-24-7Total G7
2010-20141103042011101101001111110301027
2015-20190012231010112010101100010110122
2020-20241011032111001100002000001001017
2025000000000000000001100001000003

Period-Only Goal Counts

This separates score state from scoring pace inside each period.

P1 goals

Bucket012345Total G70-goal period %
2010-201481034112729.6
2015-20196474012227.3
2020-20248540001747.1
2025201000366.7

P2 goals

Bucket012345Total G70-goal period %
2010-20144993112714.8
2015-201951043002222.7
2020-2024164510175.9
202501110030.0

P3 goals

Bucket0123456Total G70-goal period %
2010-2014411812102714.8
2015-201937731012213.6
2020-202454610101729.4
2025001011030.0