Chance Fantasy Live Monitor

NHL play off 2026

Live contest shell, optimizer output, full player pricing, and the manually captured scoring weights in one place. This is the single-account build we can monitor and refine together.
Round
16029
5. 5. (ÚT) - 6. 5. (ST)
Status
OPEN
2026-05-05T18:38:44+02:00
Player Pool
59
priced players
Captain
1.5x
current multiplier

How We Win

  • Offensive defensemen are structurally underpriced if the market thinks like normal fantasy instead of this scoring table.
  • Skater scoring includes team-result bonuses, so stacks matter more than usual.
  • Goalies should be judged on saves plus win path plus damage control, not just name value.
  • Captain is a real ceiling lever because the multiplier is large enough to matter.
  • The budget is soft. Every lineup is points minus penalty, not just points.

Budget Logic

ThresholdPenaltyStep
100M1%1M
120M40%-

Optimal Lineup

Net Score
131.96
after budget penalty
Gross Score
131.96
including captain
Salary
99.6M
0% penalty
Captain
Makar C.
single-account optimal
PlayerRoleTeamPriceProjValue
Makar C. (Captain)DefenderColorado25.7M31.181.21
Faber B.DefenderMinnesota18.0M22.771.26
Nelson B.ForwardColorado13.8M18.831.36
Lehkonen A.ForwardColorado12.6M14.951.19
Nichushkin V.ForwardColorado12.1M14.091.16
Wedgewood S.GoalieColorado17.4M14.550.84

Bench Cover

PlayerRoleTeamPriceProj
Bench picks are single-account safety plays. They are not optimized as extra upside stacks.

Top Goalie

PlayerTeamPriceProjValue
Wedgewood S.Colorado17.4M14.550.84
Wallstedt J.Minnesota16.7M14.340.86

Top Defender

PlayerTeamPriceProjValue
Makar C.Colorado25.7M31.181.21
Hughes Q.Minnesota21.7M23.181.07
Faber B.Minnesota18.0M22.771.26
Malinski S.Colorado18.4M18.711.02
Burns B.Colorado17.0M18.101.06
Toews D.Colorado14.2M17.781.25
Spurgeon J.Minnesota11.3M13.901.23
Blankenburg N.Colorado11.0M13.111.19

Top Forward

PlayerTeamPriceProjValue
MacKinnon N.Colorado23.0M26.721.16
Boldy M.Minnesota22.7M20.890.92
Nečas M.Colorado19.8M20.761.05
Nelson B.Colorado13.8M18.831.36
Hartman R.Minnesota15.7M17.371.11
Kaprizov K.Minnesota22.0M17.030.77
Landeskog G.Colorado14.9M16.031.08
Kadri N.Colorado14.7M15.891.08

Tonight's Slate

StartAwayHomeAway MLHome ML
2026-05-06 02:07MinnesotaColorado3.621.86

Current Stats Board

RankPlayerRole / TeamPriceFantasy PtsSOGBlocksHits+/-

Forward Scoring

STANDARD_GOALS12
POWER_PLAY_GOALS10
SHORT_HANDED_GOALS16
WIN_GOAL4
HAT_TRICKS6
STANDARD_ASSISTS6
POWER_PLAY_ASSISTS4
SHORT_HANDED_ASSISTS8
SHOTS_ON_GOAL2
BLOCKED_SHOTS4
PENALTY_2MIN-2
PENALTY_5MIN-4
PENALTY_10MIN-2
PENALTY_GAME-6
WIN_REGULATION_TIME4
WIN_OVERTIME2
WIN_SHOOTOUT2
LOSS_REGULATION_TIME-4
LOSS_OVERTIME-2
LOSS_SHOOTOUT-2
HITS2
PLUS_MINUS2

Defender Scoring

STANDARD_GOALS20
POWER_PLAY_GOALS18
SHORT_HANDED_GOALS24
WIN_GOAL4
HAT_TRICKS6
STANDARD_ASSISTS10
POWER_PLAY_ASSISTS8
SHORT_HANDED_ASSISTS12
SHOTS_ON_GOAL2
BLOCKED_SHOTS4
PENALTY_2MIN-2
PENALTY_5MIN-4
PENALTY_10MIN-2
PENALTY_GAME-6
WIN_REGULATION_TIME4
WIN_OVERTIME2
WIN_SHOOTOUT2
LOSS_REGULATION_TIME-4
LOSS_OVERTIME-2
LOSS_SHOOTOUT-2
HITS2
PLUS_MINUS2

Goalie Scoring

STANDARD_GOALS40
POWER_PLAY_GOALS40
SHORT_HANDED_GOALS40
WIN_GOAL4
HAT_TRICKS6
STANDARD_ASSISTS12
POWER_PLAY_ASSISTS12
SHORT_HANDED_ASSISTS12
PENALTY_2MIN-2
PENALTY_5MIN-4
PENALTY_10MIN-2
PENALTY_GAME-6
SAVES1
SHUT_OUTS10
GOALS_AGAINST-4
GOALIE_WINS6
GOALIE_LOSSES-6

Optimizer Board

PlayerRoleTeamPrice (M)ProjValueWin %LineLiveGoalieEligible
Makar C.DefenderColorado25.7M31.181.2166.06%d1Yes-Yes
MacKinnon N.ForwardColorado23.0M26.721.1666.06%f1Yes-Yes
Hughes Q.DefenderMinnesota21.7M23.181.0733.94%d1Yes-Yes
Faber B.DefenderMinnesota18.0M22.771.2633.94%d1Yes-Yes
Boldy M.ForwardMinnesota22.7M20.890.9233.94%f2Yes-Yes
Nečas M.ForwardColorado19.8M20.761.0566.06%f1Yes-Yes
Nelson B.ForwardColorado13.8M18.831.3666.06%f2Yes-Yes
Malinski S.DefenderColorado18.4M18.711.0266.06%d2Yes-Yes
Burns B.DefenderColorado17.0M18.101.0666.06%d3Yes-Yes
Toews D.DefenderColorado14.2M17.781.2566.06%d1Yes-Yes
Hartman R.ForwardMinnesota15.7M17.371.1133.94%f1Yes-Yes
Kaprizov K.ForwardMinnesota22.0M17.030.7733.94%f1Yes-Yes
Landeskog G.ForwardColorado14.9M16.031.0866.06%f2Yes-Yes
Kadri N.ForwardColorado14.7M15.891.0866.06%f3Yes-Yes
Lehkonen A.ForwardColorado12.6M14.951.1966.06%f1Yes-Yes
Zuccarello M.ForwardMinnesota16.1M14.630.9133.94%f1Yes-Yes
Wedgewood S.GoalieColorado17.4M14.550.8466.06%-YesUnconfirmedYes
Wallstedt J.GoalieMinnesota16.7M14.340.8633.94%-YesUnconfirmedYes
Nichushkin V.ForwardColorado12.1M14.091.1666.06%f2Yes-Yes
Spurgeon J.DefenderMinnesota11.3M13.901.2333.94%d2Yes-Yes
Blankenburg N.DefenderColorado11.0M13.111.1966.06%d3Yes-Yes
Kulak B.DefenderColorado10.1M12.951.2866.06%d2Yes-Yes
Kelly P.ForwardColorado11.5M11.781.0266.06%f4Yes-Yes
Drury J.ForwardColorado9.0M11.441.2766.06%f4Yes-Yes
Tarasenko V.ForwardMinnesota14.2M11.200.7933.94%f3Yes-Yes
Roy N.ForwardColorado8.9M10.671.2066.06%f3Yes-Yes
Johansson M.ForwardMinnesota12.4M8.930.7233.94%f2Yes-Yes
Colton R.ForwardColorado12.5M8.790.7066.06%f3Yes-Yes
Foligno M.ForwardMinnesota13.5M7.990.5933.94%f4Yes-Yes
McCarron M.ForwardMinnesota11.1M7.950.7233.94%f3Yes-Yes
Hunt D.DefenderMinnesota8.7M7.620.8833.94%d3Yes-Yes
O'Connor L.ForwardColorado7.4M6.730.9166.06%f4Yes-Yes
Foligno N.ForwardMinnesota10.1M6.270.6233.94%f4Yes-Yes
Bogosian Z.DefenderMinnesota9.9M5.890.5933.94%d3Yes-Yes
Trenin Y.ForwardMinnesota16.7M5.650.3433.94%f3Yes-Yes
Sturm N.ForwardMinnesota7.5M3.840.5133.94%f4Yes-Yes
Posch I.GoalieColorado10.0M1.040.1066.06%-YesUnconfirmedNo
Blackwood M.GoalieColorado15.8M1.040.0766.06%-YesUnconfirmedNo
Mercer R.GoalieMinnesota14.7M1.020.0733.94%-YesUnconfirmedNo
Petersen C.GoalieMinnesota14.7M1.020.0733.94%-YesUnconfirmedNo
Wutzke C.GoalieMinnesota14.7M1.020.0733.94%-YesUnconfirmedNo
Gustavsson F.GoalieMinnesota17.2M1.020.0633.94%-YesUnconfirmedNo
Aube-Kubel N.ForwardMinnesota9.7M--33.94%-No-No
Bardakov Z.ForwardColorado5.4M--66.06%-No-No
Brink B.ForwardMinnesota11.9M--33.94%-No-No
Brodin J.DefenderMinnesota11.2M--33.94%-No-No
Ek J.ForwardMinnesota18.9M--33.94%-No-No
Fabbri R.ForwardMinnesota11.2M--33.94%-No-No
Gustafsson Nyberg V.DefenderMinnesota11.9M--33.94%-No-No
Haight H.ForwardMinnesota10.4M--33.94%-No-No
Jones B.ForwardMinnesota9.0M--33.94%-No-No
Kiersted M.DefenderMinnesota10.8M--33.94%-No-No
Kiviranta J.ForwardColorado8.5M--66.06%-No-No
Lambos C.DefenderMinnesota12.1M--33.94%-No-No
Manson J.DefenderColorado17.0M--66.06%-No-No
Middleton J.DefenderMinnesota9.2M--33.94%-No-No
Petry J.DefenderMinnesota10.6M--33.94%-No-No
Yurov D.ForwardMinnesota10.2M--33.94%-No-No
Špaček D.DefenderMinnesota11.8M--33.94%-No-No

Raw Pricing Board

PlayerRoleTeamPrice (M)Absence
Makar C.DefenderColorado25.7No
MacKinnon N.ForwardColorado23.0No
Boldy M.ForwardMinnesota22.7No
Kaprizov K.ForwardMinnesota22.0No
Hughes Q.DefenderMinnesota21.7No
Nečas M.ForwardColorado19.8No
Ek J.ForwardMinnesota18.9Yes
Malinski S.DefenderColorado18.4No
Faber B.DefenderMinnesota18.0No
Wedgewood S.GoalieColorado17.4No
Gustavsson F.GoalieMinnesota17.2No
Manson J.DefenderColorado17.0Yes
Burns B.DefenderColorado17.0No
Wallstedt J.GoalieMinnesota16.7No
Trenin Y.ForwardMinnesota16.7No
Zuccarello M.ForwardMinnesota16.1No
Blackwood M.GoalieColorado15.8No
Hartman R.ForwardMinnesota15.7No
Landeskog G.ForwardColorado14.9No
Wutzke C.GoalieMinnesota14.7No
Petersen C.GoalieMinnesota14.7No
Mercer R.GoalieMinnesota14.7No
Kadri N.ForwardColorado14.7No
Toews D.DefenderColorado14.2No
Tarasenko V.ForwardMinnesota14.2No
Nelson B.ForwardColorado13.8No
Foligno M.ForwardMinnesota13.5No
Lehkonen A.ForwardColorado12.6No
Colton R.ForwardColorado12.5No
Johansson M.ForwardMinnesota12.4No
Nichushkin V.ForwardColorado12.1No
Lambos C.DefenderMinnesota12.1No
Gustafsson Nyberg V.DefenderMinnesota11.9No
Brink B.ForwardMinnesota11.9No
Špaček D.DefenderMinnesota11.8No
Kelly P.ForwardColorado11.5No
Spurgeon J.DefenderMinnesota11.3No
Fabbri R.ForwardMinnesota11.2No
Brodin J.DefenderMinnesota11.2Yes
McCarron M.ForwardMinnesota11.1No
Blankenburg N.DefenderColorado11.0No
Kiersted M.DefenderMinnesota10.8No
Petry J.DefenderMinnesota10.6No
Haight H.ForwardMinnesota10.4No
Yurov D.ForwardMinnesota10.2No
Kulak B.DefenderColorado10.1No
Foligno N.ForwardMinnesota10.1No
Posch I.GoalieColorado10.0No
Bogosian Z.DefenderMinnesota9.9No
Aube-Kubel N.ForwardMinnesota9.7No
Middleton J.DefenderMinnesota9.2No
Jones B.ForwardMinnesota9.0No
Drury J.ForwardColorado9.0No
Roy N.ForwardColorado8.9No
Hunt D.DefenderMinnesota8.7No
Kiviranta J.ForwardColorado8.5Yes
Sturm N.ForwardMinnesota7.5No
O'Connor L.ForwardColorado7.4No
Bardakov Z.ForwardColorado5.4No